AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Lig Feb 09, 2026

Aliağa FAŞ

Home
VS
12:00

Muğlaspor

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Aliağa FAŞ Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Muğlaspor Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.28 - 1.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Aliağa FAŞ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Muğlaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Aliağa FAŞ Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Aliağa FAŞ vs Konyaspor 2-0
Feb 01 Aliağa FAŞ vs Adana Dem… 1-2
Jan 28 Aliağa FAŞ vs Mardin BB 2-0
Jan 24 Aliağa FAŞ vs Fethiyesp… 1-3
Jan 18 Aliağa FAŞ vs Belediye … 1-0
Jan 14 Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor 2-6
Jan 10 Aliağa FAŞ vs Kahramanm… 2-0
Dec 24 Aliağa FAŞ vs 76 Iğdır … 2-2
Dec 20 Aliağa FAŞ vs Boluspor 0-0
Dec 16 Aliağa FAŞ vs 76 Iğdır … 1-1
Muğlaspor Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Muğlaspor vs Kepez Bel… 1-2
Feb 01 Muğlaspor vs Muş Mende… 1-2
Jan 28 Muğlaspor vs Adana Dem… 2-1
Jan 28 Muğlaspor vs Buca FK 2-1
Jan 24 Muğlaspor vs Antalyasp… 1-2
Jan 17 Muğlaspor vs Fethiyesp… 1-2
Jan 17 Muğlaspor vs Antalyasp… 1-0
Jan 10 Muğlaspor vs Belediye … 0-1
Dec 28 Muğlaspor vs Kastamonu… 1-1
Dec 21 Muğlaspor vs Kahramanm… 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aliağa FAŞ in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Muğlaspor in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aliağa FAŞ Power 0
Muğlaspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Aliağa FAŞ Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Muğlaspor Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.