AI Match Insights

2. Lig Feb 09, 2026

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

Home
VS
12:00

Belediye Derincespor

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Arnavutköy Belediyespor Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Belediye Derincespor Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.52 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arnavutköy Belediyespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Belediye Derincespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Arnavutköy Belediyespor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Arnavutkö… vs Kahramanm… 1-1
Jan 28 Arnavutkö… vs Boluspor 0-1
Jan 24 Arnavutkö… vs 76 Iğdır … 0-1
Jan 18 Arnavutkö… vs Menemen FK 1-2
Jan 11 Arnavutkö… vs Kocaelisp… 1-1
Dec 21 Arnavutkö… vs Isparta 3… 0-1
Dec 17 Arnavutkö… vs Adana Dem… 5-0
Dec 12 Arnavutkö… vs Muş Mende… 2-3
Dec 06 Arnavutkö… vs İçel İdma… 4-3
Nov 29 Arnavutkö… vs Hekimoğlu… 2-3
Belediye Derincespor Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Belediye … vs Hekimoğlu… 1-1
Jan 25 Belediye … vs Yeni Mala… 3-0
Jan 18 Belediye … vs Aliağa FAŞ 1-0
Jan 10 Belediye … vs Muğlaspor 0-1
Dec 21 Belediye … vs Adana Dem… 2-0
Dec 17 Belediye … vs Mardin BB 2-2
Dec 12 Belediye … vs Fethiyesp… 0-0
Dec 07 Belediye … vs Muş Mende… 1-1
Nov 30 Belediye … vs Kahramanm… 1-0
Nov 09 Belediye … vs Boluspor 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arnavutköy Belediyespor Power 0
Belediye Derincespor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Arnavutköy Belediyespor Position

-4

Position Gap

8

Belediye Derincespor Position

Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.