AI Match Insights

Liga de Expansión MX Feb 08, 2026

CDS Tampico Madero

Home
VS
01:00

Irapuato

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
CDS Tampico Madero Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Irapuato Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.76 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CDS Tampico Madero Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Irapuato Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
CDS Tampico Madero Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 CDS Tampi… vs Atlante FC 0-1
Jan 18 CDS Tampi… vs Tepatitlán 0-1
Jan 11 CDS Tampi… vs Leones Ne… 4-1
Jan 05 CDS Tampi… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Dec 07 CDS Tampi… vs Irapuato 1-0
Nov 30 CDS Tampi… vs Irapuato 0-0
Nov 23 CDS Tampi… vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Nov 21 CDS Tampi… vs Tepatitlán 0-1
Nov 17 CDS Tampi… vs Leones Ne… 4-1
Nov 14 CDS Tampi… vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Irapuato Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Irapuato vs Tlaxcala 2-1
Jan 18 Irapuato vs Leones Ne… 4-1
Jan 10 Irapuato vs Venados FC 4-1
Dec 07 Irapuato vs CDS Tampi… 1-0
Nov 30 Irapuato vs CDS Tampi… 0-0
Nov 23 Irapuato vs Monarcas 1-1
Nov 20 Irapuato vs Monarcas 0-0
Nov 16 Irapuato vs Mineros d… 2-2
Nov 13 Irapuato vs Mineros d… 1-1
Nov 08 Irapuato vs Mineros d… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • CDS Tampico Madero in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Irapuato struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2025 CDS Tampico Madero 1 - 0 Irapuato Liga de Expans…
Nov 30, 2025 Irapuato 0 - 0 CDS Tampico Madero Liga de Expans…
Aug 31, 2025 Irapuato 1 - 1 CDS Tampico Madero Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CDS Tampico Madero Power 0
Irapuato Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

CDS Tampico Madero Position

-1

Position Gap

13

Irapuato Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.