AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Feb 07, 2026

Venados FC

Home
VS
01:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.44 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Venados FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-0
Jan 25 Venados FC vs Dorados 4-4
Jan 16 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 4-2
Jan 10 Venados FC vs Irapuato 4-1
Nov 07 Venados FC vs Tlaxcala 5-1
Nov 02 Venados FC vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Oct 24 Venados FC vs CDS Tampi… 1-1
Oct 19 Venados FC vs Atlante FC 3-0
Oct 11 Venados FC vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Sep 27 Venados FC vs Correcami… 3-6
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Alebrijes… vs Caja Obla… 2-2
Jan 31 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 2-0
Jan 25 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 1-1
Jan 24 Alebrijes… vs FC Racing 0-0
Jan 17 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 0-3
Jan 17 Alebrijes… vs Gorilas d… 2-0
Jan 10 Alebrijes… vs Huracanes… 0-2
Nov 15 Alebrijes… vs Aguacater… 0-3
Nov 08 Alebrijes… vs Correcami… 1-1
Nov 07 Alebrijes… vs Poza Rica 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4 - 5 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Feb 22, 2025 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Sep 08, 2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Mar 13, 2024 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Sep 05, 2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 1 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Jan 19, 2023 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Jul 08, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Feb 09, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venados FC Power 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Venados FC Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.