AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Goiano - 1 Mar 06, 2025

Vila Nova

Home
VS
22:30

Jataiense

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Vila Nova Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Jataiense Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.31 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vila Nova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Jataiense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Vila Nova Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Vila Nova vs Jataiense 0-1
Feb 28 Vila Nova vs Inter De … 0-0
Feb 23 Vila Nova vs Jataiense 1-2
Feb 15 Vila Nova vs Inhumas 0-0
Feb 08 Vila Nova vs ABECAT Ou… 0-1
Feb 04 Vila Nova vs Rioverden… 1-1
Feb 02 Vila Nova vs Goiás 1-0
Jan 26 Vila Nova vs Athletico… 1-3
Jan 19 Vila Nova vs Anápolis 0-0
Jan 15 Vila Nova vs Aparecide… 1-0
Jataiense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Jataiense vs XV de Jau 1-0
Mar 03 Jataiense vs Vila Nova 0-1
Mar 01 Jataiense vs Bahia 1-2
Feb 26 Jataiense vs Rio Preto 0-0
Feb 23 Jataiense vs Vila Nova 1-2
Feb 23 Jataiense vs Ivinhema 0-2
Feb 22 Jataiense vs Jequié 1-2
Feb 20 Jataiense vs Porto BA 5-0
Feb 15 Jataiense vs ABECAT Ou… 3-1
Feb 15 Jataiense vs Dourados … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vila Nova in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Jataiense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2025 Jataiense 0 - 1 Vila Nova Goiano - 1
Feb 23, 2025 Jataiense 1 - 2 Vila Nova Goiano - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vila Nova to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vila Nova Power 0
Jataiense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Vila Nova Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Jataiense Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.