AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Goiano - 1 Mar 03, 2025

Jataiense

Home
VS
19:00

Vila Nova

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Jataiense Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Vila Nova Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.74 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jataiense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Vila Nova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Jataiense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Jataiense vs Bahia 1-2
Feb 26 Jataiense vs Rio Preto 0-0
Feb 23 Jataiense vs Vila Nova 1-2
Feb 23 Jataiense vs Ivinhema 0-2
Feb 22 Jataiense vs Jequié 1-2
Feb 20 Jataiense vs Porto BA 5-0
Feb 15 Jataiense vs ABECAT Ou… 3-1
Feb 15 Jataiense vs Dourados … 2-0
Feb 12 Jataiense vs Barcelona… 1-1
Feb 12 Jataiense vs CRAC 2-1
Vila Nova Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Vila Nova vs Inter De … 0-0
Feb 23 Vila Nova vs Jataiense 1-2
Feb 15 Vila Nova vs Inhumas 0-0
Feb 08 Vila Nova vs ABECAT Ou… 0-1
Feb 04 Vila Nova vs Rioverden… 1-1
Feb 02 Vila Nova vs Goiás 1-0
Jan 26 Vila Nova vs Athletico… 1-3
Jan 19 Vila Nova vs Anápolis 0-0
Jan 15 Vila Nova vs Aparecide… 1-0
Nov 24 Vila Nova vs Paysandu … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 Jataiense 1 - 2 Vila Nova Goiano - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jataiense to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jataiense Power 0
Vila Nova Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jataiense Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Vila Nova Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.