AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Apr 12, 2025

Monte Azul

Home
VS
18:00

Sertãozinho

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Monte Azul Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sertãozinho Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.70 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monte Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Sertãozinho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Monte Azul Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Monte Azul vs Sertãozin… 3-1
Mar 15 Monte Azul vs EC Lemense 4-2
Mar 09 Monte Azul vs XV de Jau 2-2
Oct 12 Monte Azul vs Votuporan… 1-0
Oct 05 Monte Azul vs Votuporan… 1-0
Mar 10 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 4-2
Feb 21 Monte Azul vs Fluminense 1-1
Feb 10 Monte Azul vs São José … 0-2
Mar 05 Monte Azul vs Fluminense 1-0
Feb 25 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Sertãozinho Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Sertãozin… vs Monte Azul 3-1
Apr 04 Sertãozin… vs Marília 1-0
Mar 29 Sertãozin… vs Marcílio … 2-0
Mar 26 Sertãozin… vs Catanduva 0-0
Mar 21 Sertãozin… vs Catanduva 0-2
Mar 15 Sertãozin… vs Bandeiran… 1-1
Mar 08 Sertãozin… vs Rio Preto 1-1
Feb 26 Sertãozin… vs São Berna… 0-0
Feb 07 Sertãozin… vs Grêmio Pr… 2-0
Jan 31 Sertãozin… vs Votuporan… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sertãozinho in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 09, 2025 Sertãozinho 3 - 1 Monte Azul Paulista - A3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Monte Azul to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monte Azul Power 0
Sertãozinho Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.