AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Oct 16, 2022

Toulouse

Home
VS
11:00

Angers

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Toulouse Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Angers Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Angers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Toulouse Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 Toulouse vs Nice 1-1
Apr 02 Toulouse vs Paris FC 2-1
Mar 19 Toulouse vs Auxerre 1-2
Mar 15 Toulouse vs Amiens 6-0
Nov 27 Toulouse vs Lyon Duch… 1-3
Oct 23 Toulouse vs Paris FC 2-2
Oct 16 Toulouse vs Auxerre 6-0
Oct 02 Toulouse vs Amiens 0-0
Jul 21 Toulouse vs Nepal 0-2
May 01 Toulouse vs Paris FC 3-1
Angers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Angers vs Marseille 0-3
Sep 18 Angers vs Nice 0-1
Aug 07 Angers vs Nantes 0-0
May 14 Angers vs Metz 1-0
Apr 17 Angers vs Nantes 1-1
Feb 27 Angers vs Lens 1-2
Feb 20 Angers vs Nice 1-0
Feb 04 Angers vs Marseille 5-2
Nov 26 Angers vs Lens 2-2
Oct 31 Angers vs Nice 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toulouse in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toulouse Power 39
Angers Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Toulouse Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Angers Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.