AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Jan 06, 2024

SC Braga

Home
VS
20:30

Guimaraes

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
SC Braga Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Guimaraes Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.24 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Braga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
SC Braga Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 30 SC Braga vs Casa Pia … 1-3
Dec 22 SC Braga vs Nacional 1-3
Dec 17 SC Braga vs Benfica 0-1
Dec 17 SC Braga vs Benfica 0-1
Dec 12 SC Braga vs Napoli 2-0
Dec 08 SC Braga vs Vizela 1-3
Dec 03 SC Braga vs Estoril 3-1
Dec 03 SC Braga vs Estoril 3-1
Nov 29 SC Braga vs Union Ber… 1-1
Nov 25 SC Braga vs Portimone… 1-4
Guimaraes Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Dec 16 Guimaraes vs Boavista 1-1
Dec 09 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 3-2
Dec 09 Guimaraes vs Sp Lisbon 3-2
Dec 02 Guimaraes vs Farense 1-2
Nov 25 Guimaraes vs Länk FC V… 4-1
Nov 11 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 1-2
Nov 05 Guimaraes vs Moreirense 1-0
Oct 01 Guimaraes vs Estoril 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guimaraes in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • SC Braga struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 27, 2023 Guimaraes 2 - 1 SC Braga Primeira Liga
Jan 30, 2023 SC Braga 3 - 0 Guimaraes Liga 3
Jan 11, 2023 SC Braga 3 - 2 Guimaraes Taça de Portug…
Oct 08, 2022 Guimaraes 2 - 2 SC Braga Liga 3
Sep 03, 2022 SC Braga 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Jan 09, 2022 Guimaraes 2 - 0 SC Braga Liga 3
Aug 27, 2021 SC Braga 1 - 1 Guimaraes Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Braga Power 0
Guimaraes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

SC Braga Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Guimaraes Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.