AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Mar 22, 2025

Capital Brasilia

Home
VS
19:00

Uberlândia

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Capital Brasilia Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Uberlândia Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.66 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capital Brasilia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Uberlândia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Capital Brasilia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Capital B… vs Uberlândia 1-1
Mar 08 Capital B… vs Gama 0-0
Feb 19 Capital B… vs Portugues… 0-0
Feb 15 Capital B… vs Paranoá 1-2
Feb 01 Capital B… vs Sobradinh… 1-1
Jan 29 Capital B… vs Real FC 2-0
Jan 26 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 1-0
Feb 14 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 0-1
Jan 28 Capital B… vs Real FC 0-3
Jan 14 Capital B… vs Paranoá 0-0
Uberlândia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Uberlândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Mar 15 Uberlândia vs Athletic … 3-2
Mar 12 Uberlândia vs Maracanaú… 0-0
Mar 08 Uberlândia vs Samambaia… 1-1
Mar 08 Uberlândia vs Athletic … 0-2
Feb 27 Uberlândia vs Corinthia… 2-2
Feb 22 Uberlândia vs Betim 1-1
Feb 16 Uberlândia vs Betim 0-0
Feb 12 Uberlândia vs Pouso Ale… 2-1
Feb 09 Uberlândia vs Athletic … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Uberlândia 1 - 1 Capital Brasilia Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Capital Brasilia to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Capital Brasilia Power 0
Uberlândia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.