AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Mar 08, 2025

Brasiliense

Home
VS
19:00

Paranoá

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Brasiliense Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Paranoá Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.15 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Brasiliense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Brasiliense Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Brasilien… vs Gama 2-0
Feb 16 Brasilien… vs Sobradinh… 0-0
Jan 25 Brasilien… vs Real FC 0-3
Jan 19 Brasilien… vs Samambaia… 2-1
Mar 10 Brasilien… vs Samambaia… 3-1
Feb 14 Brasilien… vs Real FC 1-0
Feb 07 Brasilien… vs Gama 2-0
Apr 15 Brasilien… vs Real FC 1-0
Apr 08 Brasilien… vs Real FC 3-2
Mar 18 Brasilien… vs Brasília 3-1
Paranoá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 1-0
Feb 25 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 2-0
Feb 22 Paranoá vs Real FC 2-1
Feb 15 Paranoá vs Capital B… 1-2
Feb 08 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 0-1
Feb 02 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 1-3
Feb 01 Paranoá vs Gama 1-0
Jan 26 Paranoá vs Sobradinh… 0-1
Sep 28 Paranoá vs Friburgue… 0-1
Apr 27 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brasiliense in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Paranoá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brasiliense to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brasiliense Power 0
Paranoá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Brasiliense Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Paranoá Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.