AI Match Insights

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SĂĽper Lig Feb 24, 2025

Galatasaray

Home
VS
17:00

Fenerbahce

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Galatasaray Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Fenerbahce Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.06 - 2.51
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-3 (6%) 1-3 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Galatasaray Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Galatasar… vs AZ Alkmaar 2-2
Feb 13 Galatasar… vs AZ Alkmaar 4-1
Feb 06 Galatasar… vs Boluspor 1-4
Feb 03 Galatasar… vs Gazişehir… 0-1
Jan 30 Galatasar… vs Ajax 2-1
Jan 12 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Jan 08 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 2-2
Dec 22 Galatasar… vs Kocaelisp… 1-5
Nov 10 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 3-2
Oct 19 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 0-3
Fenerbahce Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Fenerbahce vs Anderlecht 2-2
Feb 13 Fenerbahce vs Anderlecht 3-0
Feb 09 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 0-2
Feb 05 Fenerbahce vs Erzurum BB 5-0
Jan 26 Fenerbahce vs Goztepe 3-2
Jan 13 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 2-3
Jan 09 Fenerbahce vs Kasımpaşa 0-3
Dec 20 Fenerbahce vs EyĂĽpspor 1-1
Dec 15 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 3-1
Dec 07 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fenerbahce in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
May 19, 2024 Galatasaray 0 - 1 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Apr 07, 2024 Galatasaray 1 - 0 Fenerbahce Super Cup
Dec 24, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Galatasaray to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galatasaray Power 0
Fenerbahce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Galatasaray Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Fenerbahce Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.