AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Sep 21, 2024

Fenerbahce

Home
VS
17:00

Galatasaray

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Fenerbahce Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Galatasaray Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.31 - 1.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Fenerbahce Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 3-0
Aug 17 Fenerbahce vs Goztepe 2-2
May 26 Fenerbahce vs İstanbuls… 6-0
May 19 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 0-1
May 12 Fenerbahce vs Kocaelisp… 3-0
May 06 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 0-0
Apr 27 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 2-1
Apr 07 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 1-0
Feb 27 Fenerbahce vs AnkaragĂĽcĂĽ 3-0
Feb 11 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Galatasaray Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Galatasar… vs Gazişehir… 3-1
Aug 03 Galatasar… vs Besiktas 0-5
May 26 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 1-3
May 19 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 0-1
May 12 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 2-3
May 05 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 6-1
Apr 26 Galatasar… vs Adana Dem… 0-3
Apr 07 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 1-0
Mar 17 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 3-4
Feb 29 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fenerbahce in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Galatasaray in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 19, 2024 Galatasaray 0 - 1 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Apr 07, 2024 Galatasaray 1 - 0 Fenerbahce Super Cup
Dec 24, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fenerbahce to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fenerbahce Power 0
Galatasaray Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Fenerbahce Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Galatasaray Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 78%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.