AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Mar 29, 2025

Tre Penne

Home
VS
14:00

San Giovanni

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tre Penne Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
San Giovanni Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.38 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.1 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Tre Penne Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Tre Penne vs Folgore 1-1
Mar 01 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 0-0
Feb 16 Tre Penne vs Libertas 0-2
Feb 08 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 2-1
Jan 26 Tre Penne vs Pennarossa 0-0
Jan 22 Tre Penne vs Faetano 5-0
Jan 19 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Jan 11 Tre Penne vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Dec 21 Tre Penne vs San Marin… 3-2
Dec 15 Tre Penne vs Murata 2-4
San Giovanni Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 San Giova… vs Cosmos 2-0
Mar 09 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Feb 15 San Giova… vs San Marin… 1-1
Feb 09 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 2-3
Jan 21 San Giova… vs Fiorentino 0-2
Jan 12 San Giova… vs Tre Fiori 0-2
Dec 22 San Giova… vs Domagnano 1-1
Dec 15 San Giova… vs Libertas 2-1
Dec 11 San Giova… vs Tre Fiori 2-2
Dec 07 San Giova… vs Murata 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • San Giovanni in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2024 San Giovanni 1 - 1 Tre Penne Campionato
Feb 10, 2024 San Giovanni 1 - 3 Tre Penne Campionato
Oct 07, 2023 Tre Penne 5 - 0 San Giovanni Campionato
Apr 01, 2023 San Giovanni 2 - 3 Tre Penne Campionato
Dec 04, 2022 Tre Penne 3 - 1 San Giovanni Campionato
Mar 05, 2022 San Giovanni 1 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Nov 20, 2021 Tre Penne 3 - 3 San Giovanni Campionato
Apr 07, 2021 San Giovanni 4 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Penne to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Penne Power 0
San Giovanni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tre Penne Position

+11

Position Gap

13

San Giovanni Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.