AI Match Insights
Campionato Oct 07, 2023
Tre Penne
HomeVS
13:00
San Giovanni
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Tre Penne Win
Draw
San Giovanni Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Tre Penne Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Tre Penne vs Faetano | 6-1 |
| Oct 01 | Tre Penne vs Cailungo | 1-4 |
| Sep 24 | Tre Penne vs San Marin… | 3-1 |
| Sep 15 | Tre Penne vs Juvenes /… | 1-1 |
| Sep 01 | Tre Penne vs Virtus | 0-2 |
| May 27 | Tre Penne vs Virtus | 3-1 |
| Apr 23 | Tre Penne vs Faetano | 0-2 |
| Apr 15 | Tre Penne vs Pennarossa | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Tre Penne vs Folgore | 0-4 |
| Apr 01 | Tre Penne vs San Giova… | 2-3 |
San Giovanni Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | San Giova… vs Cosmos | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | San Giova… vs Fiorentino | 4-1 |
| Sep 23 | San Giova… vs Tre Fiori | 0-1 |
| Sep 17 | San Giova… vs San Marin… | 3-1 |
| Apr 22 | San Giova… vs Libertas | 1-3 |
| Apr 12 | San Giova… vs La Fiorit… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | San Giova… vs Domagnano | 3-0 |
| Apr 01 | San Giova… vs Tre Penne | 2-3 |
| Mar 12 | San Giova… vs Juvenes /… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | San Giova… vs Tre Fiori | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Tre Penne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- San Giovanni struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 01, 2023 | San Giovanni | 2 - 3 | Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Dec 04, 2022 | Tre Penne | 3 - 1 | San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Mar 05, 2022 | San Giovanni | 1 - 2 | Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Tre Penne | 3 - 3 | San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Apr 07, 2021 | San Giovanni | 4 - 2 | Tre Penne | Campionato |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tre Penne to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Tre Penne Power
0
San Giovanni Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Tre Penne Position+11
Position Gap13
San Giovanni Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.