AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Nov 20, 2021

Tre Penne

Home
VS
14:00

San Giovanni

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Tre Penne Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
San Giovanni Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.40 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Tre Penne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 2-1
Oct 02 Tre Penne vs Murata 3-0
Sep 19 Tre Penne vs Virtus 2-0
Apr 07 Tre Penne vs San Giova… 4-2
Mar 21 Tre Penne vs Murata 2-1
Sep 19 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 4-0
Sep 13 Tre Penne vs Faetano 2-4
San Giovanni Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 San Giova… vs Libertas 2-0
Sep 19 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 4-0
Apr 13 San Giova… vs Libertas 0-0
Apr 07 San Giova… vs Tre Penne 4-2
Mar 20 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Mar 06 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tre Penne in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2021 San Giovanni 4 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Penne to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Penne Power 0
San Giovanni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tre Penne Position

+11

Position Gap

13

San Giovanni Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.