AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Sep 28, 2024

Juvenes / Dogana

Home
VS
13:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Juvenes / Dogana Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Murata Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.47 - 1.83
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juvenes / Dogana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Juvenes / Dogana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Juvenes /… vs Libertas 1-1
May 01 Juvenes /… vs Tre Penne 4-2
Apr 28 Juvenes /… vs Tre Penne 3-0
Apr 21 Juvenes /… vs San Giova… 1-2
Apr 14 Juvenes /… vs Cailungo 1-0
Apr 06 Juvenes /… vs Faetano 0-3
Mar 16 Juvenes /… vs Libertas 4-1
Mar 13 Juvenes /… vs Folgore 1-0
Mar 09 Juvenes /… vs Murata 2-4
Mar 02 Juvenes /… vs Cosmos 2-1
Murata Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Murata vs Folgore 1-0
May 18 Murata vs Tre Penne 2-3
May 11 Murata vs La Fiorit… 0-1
May 04 Murata vs La Fiorit… 1-3
Apr 30 Murata vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Apr 27 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Apr 20 Murata vs Fiorentino 3-0
Mar 16 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-1
Mar 13 Murata vs Virtus 0-1
Mar 09 Murata vs Juvenes /… 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Murata struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2024 Juvenes / Dogana 2 - 4 Murata Campionato
Nov 25, 2023 Murata 4 - 1 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Feb 11, 2023 Murata 2 - 2 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Sep 30, 2022 Juvenes / Dogana 0 - 2 Murata Campionato
Feb 27, 2022 Murata 0 - 1 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Nov 06, 2021 Juvenes / Dogana 0 - 0 Murata Campionato
Sep 12, 2020 Juvenes / Dogana 1 - 1 Murata Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juvenes / Dogana to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juvenes / Dogana Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Juvenes / Dogana Position

+8

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.