AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Mar 09, 2024

Juvenes / Dogana

Home
VS
14:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Juvenes / Dogana Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Murata Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.82 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.7 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juvenes / Dogana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Juvenes / Dogana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Juvenes /… vs Cosmos 2-1
Feb 25 Juvenes /… vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Feb 21 Juvenes /… vs San Marin… 1-2
Feb 11 Juvenes /… vs Pennarossa 3-1
Feb 04 Juvenes /… vs La Fiorit… 4-0
Jan 20 Juvenes /… vs Tre Penne 2-3
Jan 13 Juvenes /… vs San Giova… 2-3
Jan 06 Juvenes /… vs Cailungo 0-1
Dec 16 Juvenes /… vs Faetano 3-1
Dec 10 Juvenes /… vs Libertas 1-0
Murata Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Murata vs Folgore 1-0
Feb 21 Murata vs Tre Penne 0-2
Feb 18 Murata vs Cailungo 1-3
Feb 10 Murata vs La Fiorit… 1-2
Feb 03 Murata vs San Giova… 0-1
Jan 23 Murata vs Libertas 1-0
Jan 20 Murata vs Faetano 0-0
Jan 13 Murata vs Fiorentino 2-1
Dec 10 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Dec 02 Murata vs Virtus 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juvenes / Dogana in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Murata struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2023 Murata 4 - 1 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Feb 11, 2023 Murata 2 - 2 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Sep 30, 2022 Juvenes / Dogana 0 - 2 Murata Campionato
Feb 27, 2022 Murata 0 - 1 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Nov 06, 2021 Juvenes / Dogana 0 - 0 Murata Campionato
Sep 12, 2020 Juvenes / Dogana 1 - 1 Murata Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juvenes / Dogana to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juvenes / Dogana Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Juvenes / Dogana Position

+8

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.