AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Sep 30, 2022

Juvenes / Dogana

Home
VS
19:15

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Juvenes / Dogana Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Murata Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.58 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juvenes / Dogana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Juvenes / Dogana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Juvenes /… vs Tre Fiori 0-3
Apr 13 Juvenes /… vs Cailungo 2-2
Apr 09 Juvenes /… vs Cosmos 3-1
Apr 03 Juvenes /… vs San Giova… 4-1
Mar 20 Juvenes /… vs Libertas 2-1
Mar 16 Juvenes /… vs Tre Fiori 2-0
Mar 05 Juvenes /… vs Faetano 1-2
Feb 27 Juvenes /… vs Murata 0-1
Feb 06 Juvenes /… vs Pennarossa 0-2
Jan 29 Juvenes /… vs Folgore 0-4
Murata Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Murata vs Virtus 1-0
Apr 03 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Mar 15 Murata vs Virtus 1-2
Feb 27 Murata vs Juvenes /… 0-1
Feb 19 Murata vs Cailungo 0-0
Feb 12 Murata vs Libertas 3-0
Feb 05 Murata vs Fiorentino 3-2
Jan 30 Murata vs Tre Penne 1-1
Nov 06 Murata vs Juvenes /… 0-0
Oct 30 Murata vs Cailungo 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Murata struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 27, 2022 Murata 0 - 1 Juvenes / Dogana Campionato
Nov 06, 2021 Juvenes / Dogana 0 - 0 Murata Campionato
Sep 12, 2020 Juvenes / Dogana 1 - 1 Murata Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juvenes / Dogana to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juvenes / Dogana Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Juvenes / Dogana Position

+8

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.