AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Nov 06, 2021

Juvenes / Dogana

Home
VS
14:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Juvenes / Dogana Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Murata Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.03 - 1.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.5 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juvenes / Dogana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Juvenes / Dogana Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Juvenes /… vs Pennarossa 2-1
Oct 16 Juvenes /… vs Pennarossa 0-0
Oct 03 Juvenes /… vs Folgore 2-1
Sep 28 Juvenes /… vs Pennarossa 0-2
Sep 19 Juvenes /… vs San Giova… 4-0
Apr 17 Juvenes /… vs Cosmos 2-5
Apr 13 Juvenes /… vs Folgore 1-6
Apr 06 Juvenes /… vs Faetano 3-2
Mar 13 Juvenes /… vs Tre Fiori 4-0
Mar 06 Juvenes /… vs San Giova… 2-1
Murata Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Murata vs Cailungo 2-1
Oct 27 Murata vs Virtus 0-0
Oct 20 Murata vs Libertas 1-0
Oct 17 Murata vs Fiorentino 0-0
Oct 02 Murata vs Tre Penne 3-0
Sep 29 Murata vs Virtus 1-2
Sep 18 Murata vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Apr 10 Murata vs Fiorentino 0-0
Mar 21 Murata vs Tre Penne 2-1
Mar 13 Murata vs Libertas 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juvenes / Dogana struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 12, 2020 Juvenes / Dogana 1 - 1 Murata Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juvenes / Dogana to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juvenes / Dogana Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Juvenes / Dogana Position

+8

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.