AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Baiano - 1 Feb 16, 2025

Vitoria

Home
VS
19:00

Jequié

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Vitoria Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Jequié Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.86 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Jequié Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Vitoria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Vitoria vs Capixaba … 1-2
Feb 08 Vitoria vs Porto BA 2-1
Feb 04 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 4-0
Feb 01 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 1-2
Feb 01 Vitoria vs Bahia 0-0
Jan 25 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Jan 19 Vitoria vs Jataiense 1-1
Jan 18 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jan 11 Vitoria vs Barcelona… 0-0
Dec 08 Vitoria vs Flamengo 2-2
Jequié Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Jequié vs Porto BA 1-2
Jan 29 Jequié vs Bahia 1-3
Jan 25 Jequié vs Atlético … 0-0
Jan 12 Jequié vs Figueiren… 0-1
Mar 16 Jequié vs Bahia 4-1
Mar 09 Jequié vs Bahia 0-1
Feb 17 Jequié vs Jataiense 1-0
Feb 04 Jequié vs Bahia de … 2-2
Feb 01 Jequié vs Vitoria 1-0
Jan 28 Jequié vs Atlético … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jequié struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2024 Jequié 1 - 0 Vitoria Baiano - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vitoria to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitoria Power 0
Jequié Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Vitoria Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Jequié Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.