AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Piauiense Feb 14, 2025

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
23:30

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Santos Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Athletico Paranaense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Athletico… vs Cascavel 0-0
Feb 12 Athletico… vs ABECAT Ou… 2-1
Feb 09 Athletico… vs Goiás 1-2
Feb 09 Athletico… vs Fluminense 1-1
Feb 02 Athletico… vs Andraus B… 1-3
Jan 28 Athletico… vs Cianorte 1-1
Jan 26 Athletico… vs Vila Nova 1-3
Jan 25 Athletico… vs Corinthia… 0-0
Jan 22 Athletico… vs Operário-… 1-1
Jan 22 Athletico… vs CRAC 2-2
Santos Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Santos vs Corinthia… 2-1
Feb 09 Santos vs Novorizon… 0-0
Feb 08 Santos vs Castanhal 1-1
Feb 01 Santos vs São Paulo… 3-1
Jan 31 Santos vs Fluminense 0-0
Jan 23 Santos vs Palmeiras 1-2
Jan 17 Santos vs Mirassol 2-1
Jan 12 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Nov 24 Santos vs Sport Rec… 2-1
Nov 17 Santos vs CRB 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2023 Athletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 05, 2023 Santos 1 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Sep 28, 2022 Santos 2 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Jun 04, 2022 Athletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Santos Serie A
Oct 30, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Santos Serie A
Sep 15, 2021 Santos 0 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil
Aug 25, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Copa do Brasil
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.