AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Potiguar Mar 15, 2025

América-RN

Home
VS
19:00

Santa Cruz RN

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
América-RN Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Santa Cruz RN Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.74 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
América-RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Santa Cruz RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
América-RN Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 América-RN vs Santa Cru… 2-1
Feb 26 América-RN vs União Cac… 4-2
Feb 01 América-RN vs Potiguar … 0-1
Jan 25 América-RN vs ABC 1-0
Jan 18 América-RN vs Laguna 0-0
Jan 15 América-RN vs Globo 1-2
Jan 11 América-RN vs Laguna 5-0
May 22 América-RN vs Corinthia… 2-1
Apr 07 América-RN vs Potiguar … 1-3
Apr 03 América-RN vs Potiguar … 1-1
Santa Cruz RN Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Santa Cru… vs América-RN 2-1
Mar 08 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 2-0
Feb 23 Santa Cru… vs Potiguar … 0-1
Feb 22 Santa Cru… vs Maguary PE 0-0
Feb 19 Santa Cru… vs Nautico R… 0-4
Feb 15 Santa Cru… vs Potiguar … 2-0
Feb 07 Santa Cru… vs Jaguaré 0-4
Feb 02 Santa Cru… vs Laguna 1-1
Feb 01 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 1-0
Jan 29 Santa Cru… vs Globo 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AmĂ©rica-RN struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Santa Cruz RN 2 - 1 América-RN Potiguar
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
América-RN Power 0
Santa Cruz RN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

América-RN Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Santa Cruz RN Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.