AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Potiguar Mar 09, 2025

Santa Cruz RN

Home
VS
19:00

América-RN

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Santa Cruz RN Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
América-RN Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.63 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Cruz RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
América-RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Santa Cruz RN Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 2-0
Feb 23 Santa Cru… vs Potiguar … 0-1
Feb 22 Santa Cru… vs Maguary PE 0-0
Feb 19 Santa Cru… vs Nautico R… 0-4
Feb 15 Santa Cru… vs Potiguar … 2-0
Feb 07 Santa Cru… vs Jaguaré 0-4
Feb 02 Santa Cru… vs Laguna 1-1
Feb 01 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 1-0
Jan 29 Santa Cru… vs Globo 2-0
Jan 28 Santa Cru… vs Retrô FC … 1-0
América-RN Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 América-RN vs União Cac… 4-2
Feb 01 América-RN vs Potiguar … 0-1
Jan 25 América-RN vs ABC 1-0
Jan 18 América-RN vs Laguna 0-0
Jan 15 América-RN vs Globo 1-2
Jan 11 América-RN vs Laguna 5-0
May 22 América-RN vs Corinthia… 2-1
Apr 07 América-RN vs Potiguar … 1-3
Apr 03 América-RN vs Potiguar … 1-1
Mar 20 América-RN vs ABC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Cruz RN Power 0
América-RN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Santa Cruz RN Position

+3

Position Gap

7

América-RN Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.