AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Diski Challenge Apr 26, 2025

Mamelodi Sundowns U23

Home
VS
08:00

Sekhukhune United U23

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Sekhukhune United U23 Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 3.26 - 1.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.5 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Sekhukhune United U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Mamelodi … vs Magesi U23 1-0
Feb 08 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 0-2
Jan 25 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 3-4
Nov 23 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 2-2
Oct 27 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-1
Sep 22 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 2-1
Sep 14 Mamelodi … vs Magesi U23 1-2
Apr 21 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 2-2
Apr 14 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-0
Mar 31 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 2-1
Sekhukhune United U23 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Sekhukhun… vs Stellenbo… 1-3
Mar 09 Sekhukhun… vs TS Galaxy… 3-3
Feb 02 Sekhukhun… vs Orlando P… 2-1
Jan 25 Sekhukhun… vs Richards … 1-2
Jan 12 Sekhukhun… vs Richards … 0-1
Nov 24 Sekhukhun… vs Stellenbo… 3-2
Oct 27 Sekhukhun… vs Mamelodi … 1-1
Oct 20 Sekhukhun… vs TS Galaxy… 3-0
Sep 21 Sekhukhun… vs Orlando P… 1-0
Apr 14 Sekhukhun… vs Mamelodi … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Sekhukhune United U… 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Apr 14, 2024 Sekhukhune United U… 1 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Nov 19, 2023 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 2 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Mar 18, 2023 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 1 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Oct 01, 2022 Sekhukhune United U… 2 - 2 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Apr 23, 2022 Sekhukhune United U… 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Oct 23, 2021 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 4 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Power 0
Sekhukhune United U23 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Sekhukhune United U23 Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.