AI Match Insights

Diski Challenge Nov 19, 2023

Mamelodi Sundowns U23

Home
VS
11:00

Sekhukhune United U23

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Sekhukhune United U23 Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.63 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Sekhukhune United U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 0-1
Apr 16 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 3-0
Mar 18 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-0
Feb 19 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 1-1
Oct 30 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 1-1
Oct 23 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 0-3
Oct 01 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 2-2
Jul 16 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 2-0
Apr 23 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 0-0
Mar 27 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 3-4
Sekhukhune United U23 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Sekhukhun… vs Stellenbo… 2-1
Oct 21 Sekhukhun… vs Orlando P… 1-1
Oct 14 Sekhukhun… vs TS Galaxy… 1-1
Oct 07 Sekhukhun… vs Richards … 1-1
May 13 Sekhukhun… vs Stellenbo… 0-1
Apr 23 Sekhukhun… vs TS Galaxy… 0-2
Mar 18 Sekhukhun… vs Mamelodi … 1-0
Mar 05 Sekhukhun… vs Richards … 0-0
Feb 18 Sekhukhun… vs Orlando P… 3-0
Jan 29 Sekhukhun… vs Stellenbo… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mamelodi Sundowns U23 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 1 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Oct 01, 2022 Sekhukhune United U… 2 - 2 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Apr 23, 2022 Sekhukhune United U… 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Oct 23, 2021 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 4 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Power 0
Sekhukhune United U23 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Sekhukhune United U23 Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.