AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Sep 05, 2022
Jong PSV
HomeVS
18:00
FC OSS
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
Draw
FC OSS Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
Combined: 57%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.14 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.9
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC OSS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
3-2 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
Jong PSV Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 09 | Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… | 1-0 |
| Apr 25 | Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… | 2-2 |
| Apr 15 | Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Apr 08 | Jong PSV vs FC OSS | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Jong PSV vs Utrecht | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Jong PSV vs Helmond S… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… | 5-1 |
| Nov 26 | Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Jong PSV vs FC OSS | 2-2 |
FC OSS Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | FC OSS vs Almere Ci… | 3-0 |
| Jul 02 | FC OSS vs Waalwijk | 5-3 |
| Apr 22 | FC OSS vs Almere Ci… | 2-3 |
| Apr 15 | FC OSS vs De Graafs… | 1-2 |
| Apr 08 | FC OSS vs Jong PSV | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | FC OSS vs Roda | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | FC OSS vs Emmen | 3-1 |
| Jan 15 | FC OSS vs ADO Den H… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | FC OSS vs Jong PSV | 2-2 |
| Oct 15 | FC OSS vs Emmen | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC OSS struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 08, 2022 | FC OSS | 2 - 0 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Jong PSV | 2 - 2 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| May 03, 2021 | Jong PSV | 0 - 0 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (82% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
82% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Jong PSV Power
0
FC OSS Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Jong PSV Position+13
Position Gap16
FC OSS Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.