AI Match Insights

Eerste Divisie Sep 05, 2022

Jong PSV

Home
VS
18:00

FC OSS

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Jong PSV Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
FC OSS Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.14 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.9 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
FC OSS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Jong PSV Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 1-0
Apr 25 Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… 2-2
Apr 19 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 2-2
Apr 15 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 1-3
Apr 08 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 2-0
Feb 14 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 0-2
Feb 04 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-0
Jan 10 Jong PSV vs Almere Ci… 5-1
Nov 26 Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Nov 05 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 2-2
FC OSS Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 FC OSS vs Almere Ci… 3-0
Jul 02 FC OSS vs Waalwijk 5-3
Apr 22 FC OSS vs Almere Ci… 2-3
Apr 15 FC OSS vs De Graafs… 1-2
Apr 08 FC OSS vs Jong PSV 2-0
Mar 11 FC OSS vs Roda 1-2
Feb 04 FC OSS vs Emmen 3-1
Jan 15 FC OSS vs ADO Den H… 2-0
Nov 05 FC OSS vs Jong PSV 2-2
Oct 15 FC OSS vs Emmen 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC OSS struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 08, 2022 FC OSS 2 - 0 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Nov 05, 2021 Jong PSV 2 - 2 FC OSS Eerste Divisie
May 03, 2021 Jong PSV 0 - 0 FC OSS Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

MASTER: Jong PSV to win (82% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 82% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jong PSV Power 0
FC OSS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jong PSV Position

+13

Position Gap

16

FC OSS Position

Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.