AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Feb 08, 2026

AD Carmelita

Home
VS
21:00

CS Uruguay

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
AD Carmelita Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
CS Uruguay Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.69 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
CS Uruguay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
AD Carmelita Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 AD Carmel… vs Deportivo… 6-0
Feb 02 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 0-0
Jan 23 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Jan 19 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 1-0
Nov 30 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 3-2
Nov 23 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 1-2
Nov 16 AD Carmel… vs Santa Ana 2-0
Nov 02 AD Carmel… vs Aserri FC 1-1
Oct 31 AD Carmel… vs Futbol Co… 0-1
Oct 24 AD Carmel… vs CS Uruguay 1-1
CS Uruguay Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 CS Uruguay vs Santa Ana 4-1
Jan 30 CS Uruguay vs Futbol Co… 0-3
Jan 17 CS Uruguay vs Aserri FC 2-2
Nov 19 CS Uruguay vs USFA 5-1
Nov 16 CS Uruguay vs New Mexic… 0-0
Nov 09 CS Uruguay vs Pitbulls … 1-0
Nov 02 CS Uruguay vs Cariari P… 6-1
Oct 30 CS Uruguay vs Escorpion… 1-1
Oct 24 CS Uruguay vs AD Carmel… 1-1
Oct 18 CS Uruguay vs Santa Ana 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2025 AD Carmelita 1 - 1 CS Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Sep 07, 2025 CS Uruguay 2 - 1 AD Carmelita Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AD Carmelita Power 0
CS Uruguay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AD Carmelita Position

+2

Position Gap

6

CS Uruguay Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.