AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 1 Jan 18, 2026

Portuguesa RJ

Home
VS
23:30

Maringá

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Portuguesa RJ Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Maringá Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.02 - 1.56
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portuguesa RJ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Portuguesa RJ Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Portugues… vs Botafogo 0-2
Jan 11 Portugues… vs Flamengo 1-1
Sep 06 Portugues… vs Maringá 1-1
Sep 03 Portugues… vs Maringá 0-2
Aug 30 Portugues… vs Bangu 0-0
Aug 27 Portugues… vs Bangu 0-0
Aug 13 Portugues… vs EC Resende 0-0
Aug 11 Portugues… vs Rayo Zuli… 1-2
Jul 30 Portugues… vs EC Resende 2-3
Mar 22 Portugues… vs Operário … 1-2
Maringá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Maringá vs Azuriz 0-1
Jan 16 Maringá vs Vasco DA … 4-2
Jan 13 Maringá vs Coritiba 0-1
Jan 10 Maringá vs Operário-… 1-1
Jan 07 Maringá vs Cianorte 3-3
Sep 06 Maringá vs Portugues… 1-1
Sep 03 Maringá vs Portugues… 0-2
Aug 30 Maringá vs Caxias 3-0
Aug 27 Maringá vs Madureira… 1-2
Aug 24 Maringá vs AO Itabai… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maringá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 06, 2025 Portuguesa RJ 1 - 1 Maringá Copa Rio
Sep 03, 2025 Maringá 0 - 2 Portuguesa RJ Copa Rio
Feb 16, 2025 Portuguesa RJ 3 - 1 Maringá Carioca - 1
Aug 28, 2024 Portuguesa RJ 1 - 2 Maringá Copa Rio
Aug 21, 2024 Maringá 2 - 2 Portuguesa RJ Copa Rio
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portuguesa RJ to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Portuguesa RJ Power 0
Maringá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.