AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Feb 07, 2026

Moreirense

Home
VS
15:30

GIL Vicente

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Moreirense Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
GIL Vicente Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.21 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Moreirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 1-0
Jan 24 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 1-0
Jan 17 Moreirense vs Alverca 2-1
Jan 11 Moreirense vs Tondela 1-0
Jan 03 Moreirense vs AVS 0-2
Dec 20 Moreirense vs Estrela d… 0-0
Dec 14 Moreirense vs Benfica 0-4
Dec 07 Moreirense vs Estoril 3-3
Nov 29 Moreirense vs Famalicao 2-2
Nov 09 Moreirense vs SC Braga 2-1
GIL Vicente Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 5-0
Jan 26 GIL Vicen… vs FC Porto 3-0
Jan 17 GIL Vicen… vs Nacional 2-1
Jan 02 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 1-1
Dec 28 GIL Vicen… vs Arouca 2-2
Dec 20 GIL Vicen… vs Rio Ave FC 2-2
Dec 13 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 1-1
Dec 08 GIL Vicen… vs Guimaraes 0-0
Nov 29 GIL Vicen… vs Tondela 0-1
Nov 09 GIL Vicen… vs AVS 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Moreirense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2025 GIL Vicente 2 - 0 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Apr 06, 2025 GIL Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Jan 12, 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 0 Moreirense Taça de Portug…
Nov 08, 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Pro League
Nov 08, 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Pro League
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreirense Power 0
GIL Vicente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Moreirense Position

-1

Position Gap

5

GIL Vicente Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.