AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Feb 09, 2026

Famalicao

Home
VS
18:45

AVS

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Famalicao Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
AVS Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 79%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Famalicao Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
AVS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Famalicao Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Famalicao vs GIL Vicen… 5-0
Jan 25 Famalicao vs Tondela 3-0
Jan 18 Famalicao vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Jan 04 Famalicao vs Alverca 1-0
Dec 27 Famalicao vs Estrela d… 2-3
Dec 22 Famalicao vs Benfica 1-0
Dec 18 Famalicao vs FC Porto 4-1
Dec 14 Famalicao vs Estoril 4-0
Dec 06 Famalicao vs SC Braga 1-2
Nov 29 Famalicao vs Moreirense 2-2
AVS Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 AVS vs Sporting … 3-2
Feb 02 AVS vs SC Braga 0-4
Jan 23 AVS vs Casa Pia … 3-3
Jan 17 AVS vs Arouca 0-1
Jan 03 AVS vs Moreirense 0-2
Dec 29 AVS vs FC Porto 2-0
Dec 21 AVS vs Nacional 2-2
Dec 17 AVS vs Guimaraes 0-1
Dec 13 AVS vs Sporting … 6-0
Dec 06 AVS vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Famalicao struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • AVS struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 AVS 0 - 1 Famalicao Primeira Liga
Mar 30, 2025 Famalicao 4 - 1 AVS Primeira Liga
Nov 03, 2024 AVS 2 - 3 Famalicao Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Famalicao to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Famalicao Power 0
AVS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Famalicao Position

+11

Position Gap

18

AVS Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.