AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Feb 07, 2026

Estrela da Amadora

Home
VS
15:30

Santa Clara

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Estrela da Amadora Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Santa Clara Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.86 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estrela da Amadora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Santa Clara Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Estrela da Amadora Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Estrela d… vs Alverca 1-1
Jan 25 Estrela d… vs Benfica 4-0
Jan 19 Estrela d… vs Estoril 0-5
Jan 03 Estrela d… vs SC Braga 3-3
Dec 27 Estrela d… vs Famalicao 2-3
Dec 20 Estrela d… vs Moreirense 0-0
Dec 15 Estrela d… vs FC Porto 3-1
Dec 07 Estrela d… vs Arouca 3-1
Nov 30 Estrela d… vs Sporting … 4-0
Nov 09 Estrela d… vs Nacional 1-1
Santa Clara Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Santa Cla… vs Estoril 2-4
Jan 24 Santa Cla… vs Moreirense 1-0
Jan 18 Santa Cla… vs Famalicao 0-1
Jan 11 Santa Cla… vs Nacional 3-3
Jan 04 Santa Cla… vs FC Porto 0-1
Dec 21 Santa Cla… vs Arouca 0-0
Dec 18 Santa Cla… vs Sporting … 2-3
Dec 15 Santa Cla… vs SC Braga 1-0
Dec 06 Santa Cla… vs Casa Pia … 1-0
Nov 30 Santa Cla… vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Clara struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Santa Clara 0 - 0 Estrela da Amadora Primeira Liga
Feb 23, 2025 Estrela da Amadora 0 - 0 Santa Clara Primeira Liga
Sep 21, 2024 Santa Clara 1 - 0 Estrela da Amadora Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Estrela da Amadora Power 0
Santa Clara Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Estrela da Amadora Position

+1

Position Gap

15

Santa Clara Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.