AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Feb 07, 2026

Arouca

Home
VS
20:30

Guimaraes

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Arouca Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Guimaraes Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.11 - 1.46
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arouca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Arouca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Arouca vs Rio Ave FC 0-3
Jan 24 Arouca vs Sporting … 1-2
Jan 17 Arouca vs AVS 0-1
Jan 03 Arouca vs Tondela 3-1
Dec 28 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 2-2
Dec 21 Arouca vs Santa Cla… 0-0
Dec 14 Arouca vs Alverca 1-0
Dec 07 Arouca vs Estrela d… 3-1
Dec 01 Arouca vs SC Braga 0-4
Nov 23 Arouca vs Fafe 2-1
Guimaraes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Guimaraes vs Moreirense 1-0
Jan 24 Guimaraes vs Estoril 4-2
Jan 18 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 0-1
Jan 10 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 0-1
Jan 06 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 1-2
Jan 02 Guimaraes vs Nacional 2-1
Dec 28 Guimaraes vs Casa Pia … 0-0
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 1-4
Dec 17 Guimaraes vs AVS 0-1
Dec 13 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guimaraes struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Guimaraes 1 - 1 Arouca Primeira Liga
Jan 18, 2025 Guimaraes 2 - 2 Arouca Primeira Liga
Aug 12, 2024 Arouca 0 - 1 Guimaraes Pro League
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1 - 3 Guimaraes Pro League
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1 - 3 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2 - 1 Arouca Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arouca Power 0
Guimaraes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Arouca Position

-2

Position Gap

9

Guimaraes Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.