AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Dec 21, 2025

Abia Warriors

Home
VS
15:00

Warri Wolves

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Abia Warriors Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Warri Wolves Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.03 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Abia Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Warri Wolves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Abia Warriors Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Abia Warr… vs Niger Tor… 3-0
Dec 14 Abia Warr… vs Kun Khali… 0-1
Dec 07 Abia Warr… vs Rivers Un… 1-1
Dec 07 Abia Warr… vs Barau FC 0-0
Nov 30 Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… 1-0
Nov 30 Abia Warr… vs Shooting … 1-0
Nov 23 Abia Warr… vs Nasarawa … 3-0
Nov 23 Abia Warr… vs Bendel In… 0-0
Nov 16 Abia Warr… vs Bayelsa U… 2-1
Nov 16 Abia Warr… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Warri Wolves Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Warri Wol… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Dec 07 Warri Wol… vs Plateau U… 1-0
Nov 30 Warri Wol… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Nov 23 Warri Wol… vs Kun Khali… 1-1
Nov 16 Warri Wol… vs Rivers Un… 2-1
Nov 09 Warri Wol… vs Ikorodu C… 0-2
Nov 01 Warri Wol… vs Bendel In… 1-1
Oct 26 Warri Wol… vs Bayelsa U… 2-0
Oct 19 Warri Wol… vs Enyimba 1-2
Oct 12 Warri Wol… vs Niger Tor… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Abia Warriors 1 - 0 Warri Wolves NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Abia Warriors to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Abia Warriors Power 0
Warri Wolves Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Abia Warriors Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Warri Wolves Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.