AI Match Insights

NPFL Sep 21, 2025

Shooting Stars

Home
VS
15:00

Kun Khalifat FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Shooting Stars Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kun Khalifat FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.53 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shooting Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Kun Khalifat FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Shooting Stars Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Shooting … vs Rivers Un… 1-0
Sep 07 Shooting … vs Ikorodu C… 1-1
Aug 30 Shooting … vs Bendel In… 1-1
Aug 24 Shooting … vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
May 25 Shooting … vs Enugu Ran… 5-1
Apr 11 Shooting … vs Bayelsa U… 3-0
Apr 06 Shooting … vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
Mar 03 Shooting … vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Feb 26 Shooting … vs Enyimba 1-1
Feb 08 Shooting … vs Bendel In… 1-0
Kun Khalifat FC Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Kun Khali… vs Abia Warr… 3-1
Sep 07 Kun Khali… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Sep 01 Kun Khali… vs Remo Stars 1-2
Aug 24 Kun Khali… vs Enugu Ran… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shooting Stars to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shooting Stars Power 0
Kun Khalifat FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Shooting Stars Position

+14

Position Gap

20

Kun Khalifat FC Position

Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.