AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Sep 21, 2025

Bayelsa United

Home
VS
15:00

Nasarawa United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Bayelsa United Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Nasarawa United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayelsa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Nasarawa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bayelsa United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 0-2
Sep 07 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 1-0
Aug 31 Bayelsa U… vs Barau FC 2-0
Aug 24 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 0-1
Apr 27 Bayelsa U… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Apr 20 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 1-1
Apr 11 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 3-0
Mar 23 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Feb 02 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Dec 01 Bayelsa U… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Nasarawa United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Nasarawa … vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Sep 07 Nasarawa … vs Enyimba 0-0
Aug 31 Nasarawa … vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Aug 27 Nasarawa … vs Niger Tor… 1-0
May 11 Nasarawa … vs Enyimba 3-2
Mar 26 Nasarawa … vs Kwara Uni… 1-0
Mar 16 Nasarawa … vs Kano Pill… 1-1
Mar 02 Nasarawa … vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Feb 02 Nasarawa … vs Niger Tor… 2-0
Jan 08 Nasarawa … vs Enyimba 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayelsa United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Nasarawa United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayelsa United Power 0
Nasarawa United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bayelsa United Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Nasarawa United Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.