AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Sep 21, 2025

Abia Warriors

Home
VS
15:00

Warri Wolves

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Abia Warriors Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Warri Wolves Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.60 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Abia Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Warri Wolves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Abia Warriors Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Abia Warr… vs Kun Khali… 3-1
Sep 14 Abia Warr… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Sep 07 Abia Warr… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Sep 07 Abia Warr… vs Rivers Un… 0-0
Aug 31 Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
Aug 31 Abia Warr… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Aug 24 Abia Warr… vs Bendel In… 2-0
Aug 24 Abia Warr… vs Kano Pill… 1-0
May 25 Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… 3-2
May 07 Abia Warr… vs Remo Stars 2-0
Warri Wolves Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 0-0
Sep 07 Warri Wol… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Aug 31 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 2-0
Aug 24 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 0-1
Jul 25 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Jul 18 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 1-0
Jun 27 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 0-1
May 30 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Mar 14 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Feb 28 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Warri Wolves in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Abia Warriors to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Abia Warriors Power 0
Warri Wolves Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Abia Warriors Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Warri Wolves Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.