AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Sep 21, 2025

Niger Tornadoes

Home
VS
15:00

Ikorodu City

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Niger Tornadoes Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Ikorodu City Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.17 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Niger Tornadoes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Ikorodu City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Niger Tornadoes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 1-0
Sep 07 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 1-0
Aug 31 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 1-0
Aug 27 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Apr 20 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 1-1
Mar 02 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 0-1
Feb 16 Niger Tor… vs Bendel In… 3-0
Feb 02 Niger Tor… vs Nasarawa … 2-0
Nov 27 Niger Tor… vs Bayelsa U… 4-1
Oct 16 Niger Tor… vs Enyimba 1-1
Ikorodu City Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Ikorodu C… vs Barau FC 2-0
Sep 07 Ikorodu C… vs Shooting … 1-1
Aug 31 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Aug 24 Ikorodu C… vs Kwara Uni… 0-0
May 25 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 3-2
May 11 Ikorodu C… vs Remo Stars 4-1
Apr 20 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 1-1
Apr 06 Ikorodu C… vs Shooting … 0-0
Feb 09 Ikorodu C… vs Kwara Uni… 2-1
Dec 22 Ikorodu C… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Niger Tornadoes Power 0
Ikorodu City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Niger Tornadoes Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Ikorodu City Position
Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.