AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Jan 23, 2026

Umm Mughad

Home
VS
13:15

Merreikh Kosti

Away
AI Predictions 58.5% Confidence
Umm Mughad Win
58.5%
Draw
22.3%
Merreikh Kosti Win
19.2%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.01 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Umm Mughad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Merreikh Kosti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Umm Mughad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Umm Mughad vs Al Ahli K… 2-2
Jan 15 Umm Mughad vs Al Rabta … 0-3
Jan 11 Umm Mughad vs Al Ahli W… 1-3
Jan 07 Umm Mughad vs Al Hilal … 0-0
Feb 04 Umm Mughad vs Kober 2-1
Feb 01 Umm Mughad vs Hay Al Wa… 1-1
Jan 25 Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahly M… 1-1
Jan 20 Umm Mughad vs Hay Al Wa… 1-1
Merreikh Kosti Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Merreikh … vs Al Ahli W… 2-0
Jan 16 Merreikh … vs Al Ahli K… 0-0
Jan 11 Merreikh … vs Al Hilal … 0-2
Jan 08 Merreikh … vs Al Rabta … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Merreikh Kosti struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Umm Mughad to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Umm Mughad Power 0
Merreikh Kosti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.