AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Jan 22, 2026

Al-Ahly Merowe

Home
VS
13:15

Al Fallah

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Al-Ahly Merowe Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Al Fallah Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.28 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahly Merowe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Al Fallah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Al-Ahly Merowe Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Al-Ahly M… vs Al Saham … 1-1
Jan 15 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 0-1
Jan 11 Al-Ahly M… vs Al-merrei… 1-2
Jan 08 Al-Ahly M… vs Al Hilal … 0-0
Feb 06 Al-Ahly M… vs Hay Al Wa… 1-0
Jan 30 Al-Ahly M… vs Kober 1-0
Jan 25 Al-Ahly M… vs Umm Mughad 1-1
Apr 09 Al-Ahly M… vs Al Fallah 1-1
Apr 06 Al-Ahly M… vs Alamal At… 3-1
Nov 28 Al-Ahly M… vs Al Fallah 4-0
Al Fallah Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Al Fallah vs Al-merrei… 0-0
Jan 16 Al Fallah vs Al Saham … 0-0
Jan 11 Al Fallah vs Al Hilal … 2-0
Jan 07 Al Fallah vs Alamal At… 1-0
Feb 14 Al Fallah vs Alamal At… 1-1
Feb 11 Al Fallah vs Al Ahli K… 3-2
Jan 20 Al Fallah vs Alamal At… 0-0
Apr 09 Al Fallah vs Al-Ahly M… 1-1
Mar 17 Al Fallah vs Alamal At… 0-0
Nov 28 Al Fallah vs Al-Ahly M… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 09, 2023 Al-Ahly Merowe 1 - 1 Al Fallah Sudani Premier…
Nov 28, 2022 Al Fallah 4 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudani Premier…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahly Merowe to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahly Merowe Power 0
Al Fallah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.