AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Jan 20, 2026

Umm Mughad

Home
VS
13:15

Al Ahli Khartoum

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Umm Mughad Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Al Ahli Khartoum Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.30 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Umm Mughad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Al Ahli Khartoum Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Umm Mughad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Umm Mughad vs Al Rabta … 0-3
Jan 11 Umm Mughad vs Al Ahli W… 1-3
Jan 07 Umm Mughad vs Al Hilal … 0-0
Feb 04 Umm Mughad vs Kober 2-1
Feb 01 Umm Mughad vs Hay Al Wa… 1-1
Jan 25 Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahly M… 1-1
Jan 20 Umm Mughad vs Hay Al Wa… 1-1
Al Ahli Khartoum Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Al Ahli K… vs Merreikh … 0-0
Jan 12 Al Ahli K… vs Al Rabta … 1-0
Jan 07 Al Ahli K… vs Al Ahli W… 3-0
Feb 11 Al Ahli K… vs Al Fallah 3-2
Feb 07 Al Ahli K… vs Alamal At… 2-0
Feb 02 Al Ahli K… vs Al Ahli W… 1-0
Jan 16 Al Ahli K… vs Al Ahli W… 2-0
Mar 01 Al Ahli K… vs Al Rabta … 2-0
Dec 20 Al Ahli K… vs Al Hilal … 2-1
Oct 20 Al Ahli K… vs Al Rabta … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Ahli Khartoum struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Umm Mughad to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Umm Mughad Power 0
Al Ahli Khartoum Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.