AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Jan 19, 2026

Al Ahli Wad Medani

Home
VS
13:30

Merreikh Kosti

Away
AI Predictions 65.7% Confidence
Al Ahli Wad Medani Win
65.7%
Draw
20.9%
Merreikh Kosti Win
13.5%
Home Win (66% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.56 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Ahli Wad Medani Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Merreikh Kosti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Al Ahli Wad Medani Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Al Ahli W… vs Al Hilal … 1-0
Jan 11 Al Ahli W… vs Umm Mughad 1-3
Jan 07 Al Ahli W… vs Al Ahli K… 3-0
Sep 27 Al Ahli W… vs Étoile du… 3-0
Sep 20 Al Ahli W… vs Étoile du… 1-0
Sep 07 Al Ahli W… vs Al Hilal … 1-1
Jul 16 Al Ahli W… vs Al Merrei… 0-1
Jul 10 Al Ahli W… vs Al Hilal … 0-0
Feb 02 Al Ahli W… vs Al Ahli K… 1-0
Jan 16 Al Ahli W… vs Al Ahli K… 2-0
Merreikh Kosti Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Merreikh … vs Al Ahli K… 0-0
Jan 11 Merreikh … vs Al Hilal … 0-2
Jan 08 Merreikh … vs Al Rabta … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Ahli Wad Medani in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Ahli Wad Medani to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Ahli Wad Medani Power 0
Merreikh Kosti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.