AI Match Insights

Sudani Premier League Jan 17, 2026

Al Fajr

Home
VS
13:15

Hay Al Wadi

Away
AI Predictions 40.0% Confidence
Al Fajr Win
40.0%
Draw
26.0%
Hay Al Wadi Win
34.0%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.36 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Fajr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Hay Al Wadi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Al Fajr Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 12 Al Fajr vs Haidob En… 2-2
Jan 07 Al Fajr vs Al Merrei… 2-1
Hay Al Wadi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Hay Al Wa… vs Hilal El-… 1-0
Jan 09 Hay Al Wa… vs Haidob En… 1-0
Jul 21 Hay Al Wa… vs Alamal At… 1-1
Jul 18 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Hilal … 1-2
Jul 16 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Hilal … 3-3
Jul 13 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Merrei… 0-0
Jul 10 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Merrei… 1-0
Jul 04 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Zamala… 1-0
Feb 06 Hay Al Wa… vs Al-Ahly M… 1-0
Feb 01 Hay Al Wa… vs Umm Mughad 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Fajr to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Fajr Power 0
Hay Al Wadi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.