AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Baiano - 1 Feb 12, 2026

Galícia

Home
VS
00:30

Jequié

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Galícia Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Jequié Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.50 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Galícia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Jequié Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Galícia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Galícia vs Bahia de … 1-2
Jan 27 Galícia vs Atlético … 1-0
Jan 24 Galícia vs Jacuipense 2-1
Jan 17 Galícia vs Bahia 3-0
Jan 14 Galícia vs Juazeiren… 2-0
Jan 12 Galícia vs Barcelona… 2-0
Jul 27 Galícia vs Bahia de … 2-2
Jul 20 Galícia vs Bahia de … 0-1
May 03 Galícia vs Bahia de … 0-0
Jun 30 Galícia vs Porto BA 1-0
Jequié Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Jequié vs Jacuipense 0-2
Jan 29 Jequié vs Bahia de … 1-2
Jan 23 Jequié vs Atlético … 4-1
Jan 19 Jequié vs Juazeiren… 1-0
Jan 15 Jequié vs Porto BA 1-1
Jan 11 Jequié vs Bahia 4-2
Feb 26 Jequié vs Retrô FC … 1-2
Feb 22 Jequié vs Jataiense 1-2
Feb 16 Jequié vs Vitoria 2-0
Feb 02 Jequié vs Porto BA 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jequié in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Galícia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galícia Power 0
Jequié Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Galícia Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Jequié Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.