AI Match Insights

Primera División - Apertura Jul 02, 2023

Boston River

Home
VS
13:00

Danubio

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Boston River Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Danubio Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.30 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Danubio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Boston River Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 3-3
Feb 20 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 1-0
Oct 12 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Sep 10 Boston Ri… vs Albion FC 1-0
Apr 02 Boston Ri… vs Albion FC 1-2
Danubio Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Danubio vs Boston Ri… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Boston River in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2023 Boston River 3 - 3 Danubio Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boston River to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boston River Power 0
Danubio Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.