AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Oct 22, 2022

Bristol Rovers

Home
VS
14:00

Plymouth

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bristol Rovers Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Plymouth Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 0.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bristol Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Bristol Rovers Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Bristol R… vs Swindon 3-0
Oct 15 Bristol R… vs Chelsea 1-4
Oct 11 Bristol R… vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Oct 08 Bristol R… vs Cambridge… 2-1
Sep 24 Bristol R… vs Accringto… 0-1
Aug 30 Bristol R… vs Plymouth 1-1
Aug 27 Bristol R… vs Shrewsbury 1-1
Apr 18 Bristol R… vs Port Vale 1-3
Apr 15 Bristol R… vs Watford 1-0
Mar 15 Bristol R… vs Mancheste… 1-0
Plymouth Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Plymouth vs Wycombe 0-1
Aug 30 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 1-1
Aug 27 Plymouth vs Bolton 2-0
Aug 13 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 2-0
Aug 10 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 0-2
Apr 23 Plymouth vs Wigan 1-1
Apr 15 Plymouth vs Wycombe 2-0
Apr 09 Plymouth vs Brighton 0-0
Mar 12 Plymouth vs Bolton 0-1
Feb 26 Plymouth vs Rotherham… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bristol Rovers in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2022 Plymouth 1 - 1 Bristol Rovers EFL Trophy
Jul 17, 2021 Bristol Rovers 1 - 1 Plymouth Friendlies Clu…
Mar 20, 2021 Plymouth 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers League One
Dec 12, 2020 Bristol Rovers 3 - 0 Plymouth League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (28% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 28% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bristol Rovers Power 27
Plymouth Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.