AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Feb 06, 2026

HB Køge

Home
VS
13:30

Roskilde

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
HB Køge Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Roskilde Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.29 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HB Køge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Roskilde Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
HB Køge Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 HB Køge vs Lyngby 0-1
Dec 04 HB Køge vs Naestved 4-0
Nov 23 HB Køge vs Aarhus GF 2-2
Nov 07 HB Køge vs Hillerød 1-1
Oct 31 HB Køge vs AC Horsens 2-3
Oct 23 HB Køge vs Hvidovre 3-1
Oct 17 HB Køge vs Kolding IF 2-1
Oct 02 HB Køge vs Aalborg 2-1
Sep 27 HB Køge vs Hvidovre 0-2
Sep 21 HB Køge vs Lyngby 4-0
Roskilde Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Roskilde vs Brabrand 0-0
Nov 07 Roskilde vs Skive 1-1
Nov 01 Roskilde vs Thisted 1-2
Oct 25 Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus 1-1
Oct 17 Roskilde vs Fremad Am… 2-0
Oct 11 Roskilde vs Brabrand 5-1
Oct 03 Roskilde vs FC Helsin… 1-2
Sep 26 Roskilde vs HIK 4-1
Sep 21 Roskilde vs Thisted 0-0
Sep 12 Roskilde vs AB Københ… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 04, 2025 HB Køge 4 - 3 Roskilde 1st Division
Apr 17, 2025 Roskilde 1 - 1 HB Køge 1st Division
Mar 14, 2025 HB Køge 2 - 1 Roskilde 1st Division
Sep 29, 2024 Roskilde 0 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Jul 15, 2023 HB Køge 0 - 1 Roskilde Friendlies Clu…
Jun 14, 2020 Roskilde 2 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: HB Køge to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HB Køge Power 0
Roskilde Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.