AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
KNVB Beker Jan 14, 2026

AZ Alkmaar

Home
VS
20:00

Ajax

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
AZ Alkmaar Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Ajax Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 44%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
xG: 1.27 - 2.60
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (9%) 1-3 (8%) 0-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 0-3 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
AZ Alkmaar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volend… 1-0
Dec 21 AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna S… 4-3
Dec 18 AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellon… 0-0
Dec 11 AZ Alkmaar vs Drita 0-3
Dec 07 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 2-2
Dec 03 AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle 1-3
Nov 30 AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente 1-0
Nov 27 AZ Alkmaar vs Shelbourne 2-0
Nov 23 AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen 3-1
Nov 09 AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindh… 1-5
Ajax Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Ajax vs Telstar 2-3
Jan 05 Ajax vs Seraing U… 4-0
Dec 20 Ajax vs NEC Nijme… 2-2
Dec 17 Ajax vs Excelsior… 2-7
Dec 14 Ajax vs Feyenoord 2-0
Dec 10 Ajax vs QarabaÄź FK 2-4
Dec 06 Ajax vs Fortuna S… 1-3
Dec 02 Ajax vs Groningen 2-0
Nov 25 Ajax vs Benfica 0-2
Nov 22 Ajax vs Excelsior 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ajax in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2025 Ajax 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Mar 16, 2025 Ajax 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Jan 14, 2025 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Ajax KNVB Beker
Dec 08, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Ajax Eredivisie
Dec 08, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Ajax Pro League
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Ajax Eredivisie
Feb 25, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Ajax Pro League
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Ajax Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AZ Alkmaar Power 0
Ajax Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.