AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 11, 2026

Southampton

Home
VS
19:45

Braintree

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Southampton Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Braintree Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.86 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Braintree Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Southampton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Southampt… vs AFC Fylde 0-0
Jan 31 Southampt… vs Stoke City 0-2
Jan 31 Southampt… vs Crawley T… 1-1
Jan 25 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 1-1
Jan 24 Southampt… vs Tamworth 0-1
Jan 21 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 1-0
Jan 17 Southampt… vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Jan 17 Southampt… vs Hull City 1-2
Jan 13 Southampt… vs Eastleigh 0-2
Jan 10 Southampt… vs Doncaster 2-3
Braintree Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Braintree vs Eastleigh 2-1
Jan 27 Braintree vs Truro City 0-0
Jan 24 Braintree vs York 5-0
Jan 17 Braintree vs Boreham W… 0-3
Jan 10 Braintree vs Bolton 0-0
Jan 03 Braintree vs Yeovil To… 3-1
Dec 30 Braintree vs Woking 0-1
Dec 26 Braintree vs Southend 0-1
Dec 21 Braintree vs Hartlepool 0-0
Dec 13 Braintree vs Ebbsfleet… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Braintree 0 - 0 Southampton National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Southampton to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southampton Power 36
Braintree Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.