AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 11, 2026

York

Home
VS
19:45

Hartlepool

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
York Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Hartlepool Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.59 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
York Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Hartlepool Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
York Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 York vs Solihull … 0-2
Jan 24 York vs Braintree 5-0
Jan 21 York vs Carlisle 0-3
Jan 17 York vs Southend 1-1
Jan 10 York vs Southampt… 1-2
Dec 30 York vs Altrincham 1-2
Dec 26 York vs Bolton 2-2
Dec 20 York vs Truro City 4-0
Nov 29 York vs Aldershot… 5-1
Nov 22 York vs Crawley T… 2-3
Hartlepool Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Hartlepool vs Aldershot… 0-3
Jan 24 Hartlepool vs Crawley T… 0-0
Jan 20 Hartlepool vs Gateshead 2-1
Jan 17 Hartlepool vs Altrincham 1-0
Jan 10 Hartlepool vs Woking 4-0
Dec 30 Hartlepool vs Rochdale 1-2
Dec 26 Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe 1-2
Dec 21 Hartlepool vs Braintree 0-0
Dec 06 Hartlepool vs Yeovil To… 0-2
Nov 29 Hartlepool vs Truro City 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • York in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Hartlepool 1 - 2 York National League
Final Verdict

ELITE: York to win (89% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 89% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
York Power 52
Hartlepool Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

York Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Hartlepool Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.